prospect process

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Prospect flowchart
Literature search

Comprehensive search strategy to identify relevant studies

Literature search terms are clearly defined and agreed by the prospect Subgroup, Data Analysis and Medical Writing Team and Information Specialist (see Review Team section), and include words or phrases related to pain and possible interventions, as well as procedure-specific terms. MEDLINE and EMBASE are searched by an Information Specialist to identify studies published within a defined time period; secondary literature searches are also performed and relevant systematic reviews are identified in the Cochrane library

Review abstracts: decision to select

Studies that appear relevant to the systematic review are selected for closer inspection by the Data Analysis and Medical Writing Team

Inclusion criteria:

  • Randomised controlled clinical trials of analgesic, anaesthetic and operative interventions in adults, relating to surgical procedure being reviewed
  • Pain scores from a linear pain scale, e.g. visual analogue scale (VAS) or verbal or numerical rating scale (VRS or NRS)
  • While there is evidence that studies published in English are more likely to report beneficial effects for a particular treatment or intervention than studies published in other languages (Moher 1996Egger 1997, Juni 2002, Song 2000), only English language studies are included, due to time and resource constraints
Review selected papers: include/exclude (performed by Data Analysis and Medical Writing Team)

Inclusion criteria:

  • Randomised controlled clinical trials of analgesic, anaesthetic and operative interventions in adults, relating to surgical procedure being reviewed
  • Pain scores from a linear pain scale, e.g. visual analogue scale (VAS) or verbal or numerical rating scale (VRS, NRS)
Data summary and table

The Data Analysis and Medical Writing Team record information from each included study, in tables, with similar comparisons grouped together for ease of analysis.

Information is collected according to the list of outcome measures for assessment, as agreed at the outset of the review. The following information is always recorded if included in the published study:

  • Interventions compared and patient numbers in each group
  • Analgesia administered to all patients
  • Qualitative outcomes for pain scores, supplementary analgesic use, time to first request for rescue analgesia, postoperative nausea and vomiting
  • Additional outcomes that are considered to be important in the procedure under review

Assess quality and level of evidence of each study

Quality assessment is performed by the Data Analysis and Medical Writing Team, and the Subgroup

Levels of evidence and grades of recommendation in PROSPECT reviews (from 2006)

Qualitative analysis

Qualitative analyses are performed for each group of studies reporting similar treatment comparisons (for example, all studies comparing incisional local anaesthetics versus placebo). All analyses are reported in a summary Outcomes Document. Qualitative results are reported for all specified outcomes, and details of the assigned levels of evidence are recorded in the text of the document

Meta-analysis of pooled data

Quantitative analyses are performed where possible, where study designs are homogenous and data are reported in a suitable manner, using Review Manager 4.2.2 software (RevManAnalyses), which has been developed for Cochrane Collaboration systematic reviews. Quantitative analyses are reported in the summary Outcomes Document

  • Meta-analysis of continuous data provides a weighted mean difference (WMD) and a probability of overall treatment effect, based on means and standard deviations
  • Meta-analysis of dichotomous data provides an odds ratio (OR) and a probability of overall treatment effect, based on the proportion of patients affected
  • Studies that do not report mean and standard deviation (SD) data (for continuous variables) or proportion of patients affected (for dichotomous variables), are not included in the meta-analyses

Review by Subgroup

The Subgroup consists of at least two members of the Working Group and, in some cases, one additional, external expert with special interest in the procedure in question; the Subgroup reviews the Outcomes Document, evaluating the strength of evidence for each surgical, anaesthetic or analgesic intervention

Subgroup meeting

The Subgroup members and the Data Analysis and Medical Writing Team discuss the Outcomes Document; the Subgroup drafts the transferable evidence, clinical practice information and recommendations. The recommendations are formulated after a discussion of the relative benefits and harms of each intervention, taking into account:

  • Strength of results and consistency of evidence
  • Important safety considerations related to the analgesic intervention
  • Ethical constraints
  • Clinical expertise
  • Patient preferences
  • Clinical relevance
  • Pathophysiology and clinical plausibility
  • Applicability to patient group
  • Practicality
  • Side-effects

Review document

The Data Analysis and Medical Writing Team prepares the ‘Review’ document. All statements of evidence, including procedure-specific, transferable and clinical practice information, are presented with a tick or cross, indicating whether or not they support the use of that particular intervention. Recommendations drafted at the Subgroup meeting are included

Review by Working Group

The Review document is circulated to each member of the prospect Working Group for review

Comments of Working Group collated by Delphi method

Following evaluation of the Review document, Working Group members comment on the evidence and draft recommendations. The Working Group does not discuss individual comments until the Data Analysis and Medical Writing Team has received all the comments, according to the Delphi method (Dalkey 1963):

  • Comments are forwarded only to the Data Analysis and Medical Writing Team, and not to the whole Working Group (this method avoids the potential for one Working Group member’s views to be accepted by the rest of the Group without full consideration of the data)
  • Individual comments are then collated for discussion at a round-table meeting

Working Group meeting

Collated comments are discussed and the recommendations are finalised. Where consensus is not reached by group discussion, a modified Nominal Group Process is used. This is a method whereby:

1. Each Working Group member expresses his or her comments/concerns about each recommendation, one after the other; at this stage, there is no discussion, agreement or disagreement from the other members

2. Comments are discussed

3. Each Working Group member votes to accept or reject individual comments

4. Further rounds of comments, discussion and voting are included until consensus is reached

5. Where full consensus of the Working Group is not achieved, a majority decision is taken based on a vote, and this is noted alongside the recommendation

6. Recommendations are presented with a brief explanation of the evidence on which they are based (including details of the balance of benefits and harms, where relevant). Recommendations are graded to indicate the strength of the recommendation, which reflects the level and source of evidence (also specified)

Levels of evidence and grades of recommendation in PROSPECT reviews (from 2006)

Revision of Review document and final consideration by Working Group

The Review document is updated according to the consensus agreements from the Working Group meeting and circulated to the Working Group for a final round of comments by the Delphi method; any final comments are incorporated according to the consensus of the Working Group

Procedure review available at www.postoppain.org

The final version of the Review Document is presented on the prospect website.

Evidence and graded recommendations for peri-operative interventions are contained within folders, in which procedure-specific evidence, transferable evidence, clinical practice information and prospect recommendations are clearly separated.

A summary of the recommendations and details of the procedure-specific systematic literature review are also presented, including criteria for study inclusion as well as lists of included and excluded studies.

The web-based format offers a user-friendly way to present the large amount of information contained within each review, and encourages users to submit feedback to the Working Group via the website.